DETERMINANTS OF INVESTMENT RISK IN THE INDIAN CONSUMER GOODS SECTOR: THE DYNAMIC PANEL REGRESSION APPROACH

Khushboo Gupta¹, Venkata Ramana Thanikella², Omkar Singh Deol³ and Kanishka Gupta⁴

¹Amity College of Commerce and Finance, Amity University, Noida, India
²Amity Business School, Amity University, Noida, India
³Shaheed Bhagat Singh Evening College, University of Delhi, New Delhi, India
⁴Symbiosis Centre for Management Studies, Symbiosis International, Noida, India

The objective of the current paper is to study the relationship between company financial factors, macroeconomic factors and the market measures of risk of the Consumer Goods Sector of the Indian economy. Systematic, unsystematic and total risks are the measures of the risk used. Dynamic panel data regression techniques have been applied to the data of the companies comprising the S&P BSE FMCG index of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) of India. The time frame established for the study is the period from 2011 to 2020. The results show that on average 89.6 percent of total risk is attributable to the unsystematic portion, whereas the rest is attributable to the systematic portion. Furthermore, both the financial variables and macroeconomic variables can be used to gauge the risk related to investments. Moreover, marketing personnel may justify their expenditure that builds their brand value as these efforts will reduce the risk for investors and increase their wealth. The results of this study are especially useful for business managers, as well as investors, helping them to understand risk and the factors contributing to it, which may provide useful insights regarding cost-of-capital and value-of-firm calculations.

Keywords: systematic risk, Indian fast moving consumer goods, unsystematic risk, idiosyncratic risk, dynamic panel data analysis